Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm

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Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm +  Has identifier

Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm +  Ksl tr id

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Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm

Bibtype  techreport

Has publishing details  October,1990

Has title  Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm

Has where published  KSL-88-36

Has year  1990

Title  Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm

Year  1990

Abstract  We introduce a graceful approach to probab We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final probabilities of interest with the allocation of a complete resource fraction. The approach allows a reasoner to exchange arbitrary quantities of computational resource for incremental gains in inference quality. As such, bounded conditioning holds promise as a useful inference technique for reasoning under the general conditions of uncertain and varying reasoning resources. The algorithm solves a probabilistic bounding problem in complex belief networks by breaking the problem into a set of mutually exclusive, tractable subproblems and ordering their solution by the expected effect that each subproblem will have on the final answer. We introduce the algorithm discuss its characterization, and present its performance on several belief networks, including a complex model for reasoning about problems in intensive-care medicine. about problems in intensive-care medicine.

Note  20 pages.

Author  Eric Horvitz and Henri Jacques Suermondt +

Has author  Eric Horvitz and Henri Jacques Suermondt +

Has identifier  Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm +

Institution  Knowledge Systems, AI Laboratory +

Ksl tr id  Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm +

Month  October +

Number  Bounded Conditioning: A Flexible Probabilistic Inference Algorithm +

Process note  YES +

Categories  KSL Technical Report +, Publication +, Technical Report +

 

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