Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting

Citation: Paul Dagum and Adam Galper and Eric Horvitz. (1992) Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting. In KSL-92-51, 1992.

Publication techreport ( Edit )
type	Technical Report
bibtype	techreport
Bibtex basics
author	Paul Dagum and Adam Galper and Eric Horvitz
title	Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting
number	KSL-92-51
institution	Knowledge Systems, AI Laboratory
address	Stanford, CA
year	1992
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abstract	We have developed a probabilistic forecasting methodology through a synthesis of belief-network models and classical time-series analysis. We present the dynamic network model (DNM) and describe methods for constructing, refining, and performing inference with this representation of temporal probabilistic knowledge. The DNM representation extends static belief-network models to more general dynamic forecasting models by integrating and iteratively refining contemporaneous and time-lagged dependencies. We discuss key concepts in terms of a model for forecasting U.S. car sales in Japan.

KSL Technical Report ID: KSL-92-51

Abstract	We have developed a probabilistic forecast … We have developed a probabilistic forecasting methodology through a synthesis of belief-network models and classical time-series analysis. We present the dynamic network model (DNM) and describe methods for constructing, refining, and performing inference with this representation of temporal probabilistic knowledge. The DNM representation extends static belief-network models to more general dynamic forecasting models by integrating and iteratively refining contemporaneous and time-lagged dependencies. We discuss key concepts in terms of a model for forecasting U.S. car sales in Japan. l for forecasting U.S. car sales in Japan.
Address	Stanford, CA +
Author	Paul Dagum and Adam Galper and Eric Horvitz +
Bibtype	techreport +
Has author	Paul Dagum and Adam Galper and Eric Horvitz +
Has identifier	KSL-92-51 +
Has publishing details	1992 +
Has title	Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting +
Has where published	KSL-92-51 +
Has year	1992 +
Institution	Knowledge Systems, AI Laboratory +
Ksl tr id	KSL-92-51 +
Number	KSL-92-51 +
Process note	YES +
Title	Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting +
Year	1992 +