An Empirical Evaluation of a Randomized Algorithm for Probabilistic Inference

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Citation: R. Martin Chavez and Gregory F. Cooper. (1989) An Empirical Evaluation of a Randomized Algorithm for Probabilistic Inference. In Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, 191-208,1989.

Publication inproceedings ( Edit )
type InProceedings
bibtype inproceedings
Bibtex basics
author R. Martin Chavez and Gregory F. Cooper
title An Empirical Evaluation of a Randomized Algorithm for Probabilistic Inference
booktitle Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
pages 191-208
address North-Holland
year 1989
Bibtex more
publisher Elsevier Science booktitles B.V.
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abstract An empirical evaluation of a randomized algorithm for probabilistic inference KNET is an environment for constructing probabilistic, knowledge-based systems within the axiomatic framework of decision theory. The KNET architecture defines a complete separation between the hypermedia user interface on the one hand, and the representation and management of expert opinion on the other. KNET offers a choice of algorithms for probabilistic inference, including exact and approximate methods. In our laboratory, we have used KNET to build consultation systems for lymph-node pathology, bone-marrow transplantation therapy, clinical epidemiology, and alarm management in the intensive-care unit.Most important, KNET contains a fully polynomial randomized approximation scheme (fpras) for the difficult and almost certainly intractable problem of Bayesian inference. The algorithm can, in many circumstances, perform efficient approximate inference in large and richly interconnected models of medical diagnosis. In this article, we summarize a randomized algorithm for probabilistic inference and analyze its performance mathematically. Then, we devote the major portion of the paper to a discussion of the algorithm's empirical behavior. The results indicate that the generation of good samples (that is, samples whose distribution closely matches the true distribution), rather than the computation of numerous mediocre samples, dominates the performance of stochastic simulation.

KSL Technical Report ID: KSL-89-31
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Abstract An empirical evaluation of a randomized al An empirical evaluation of a randomized algorithm for probabilistic inference KNET is an environment for constructing probabilistic, knowledge-based systems within the axiomatic framework of decision theory. The KNET architecture defines a complete separation between the hypermedia user interface on the one hand, and the representation and management of expert opinion on the other. KNET offers a choice of algorithms for probabilistic inference, including exact and approximate methods. In our laboratory, we have used KNET to build consultation systems for lymph-node pathology, bone-marrow transplantation therapy, clinical epidemiology, and alarm management in the intensive-care unit.Most important, KNET contains a fully polynomial randomized approximation scheme (fpras) for the difficult and almost certainly intractable problem of Bayesian inference. The algorithm can, in many circumstances, perform efficient approximate inference in large and richly interconnected models of medical diagnosis. In this article, we summarize a randomized algorithm for probabilistic inference and analyze its performance mathematically. Then, we devote the major portion of the paper to a discussion of the algorithm's empirical behavior. The results indicate that the generation of good samples (that is, samples whose distribution closely matches the true distribution), rather than the computation of numerous mediocre samples, dominates the performance of stochastic simulation. the performance of stochastic simulation.
Address North-Holland  +
Author R. Martin Chavez and Gregory F. Cooper  +
Bibtype inproceedings  +
Booktitle Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence  +
Has author R. Martin Chavez and Gregory F. Cooper  +
Has identifier KSL-89-31  +
Has publishing details 191-208,1989  +
Has title An Empirical Evaluation of a Randomized Algorithm for Probabilistic Inference  +
Has where published Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence  +
Has year 1989  +
Ksl tr id KSL-89-31  +
Pages 191-208  +
Process note GOOGLE  +
Publisher Elsevier Science booktitles B.V.  +
Title An Empirical Evaluation of a Randomized Algorithm for Probabilistic Inference  +
Year 1989  +
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