A Bayesian Perspective in Confidence

Citation: David Heckerman and Holly Brügge Jimison. (1989) A Bayesian Perspective in Confidence. In , 1989.

Publication techreport ( Edit )
type	Technical Report
bibtype	techreport
Bibtex basics
author	David Heckerman and Holly Brügge Jimison
title	A Bayesian Perspective in Confidence
number	KSL-89-59
institution	Knowledge Systems, AI Laboratory
year	1989
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abstract	We present a representation of partial confidence in belief and preference that is consistent with the tenets of decision-theory. The fundamental insight underlying the representation is that if a person is not completely confident in a probability or utility assessment, additional modeling of the assessment may improve decisions to which it is relevant. We show how a traditional decision-analytic approach can be used to balance the benefits of additional modeling with associated costs. The approach can be used during knowledge acquisition to focus the attention of a knowledge engineer or expert on parts of a decision model that deserve additional refinement.

KSL Technical Report ID: KSL-89-59

Abstract	We present a representation of partial con … We present a representation of partial confidence in belief and preference that is consistent with the tenets of decision-theory. The fundamental insight underlying the representation is that if a person is not completely confident in a probability or utility assessment, additional modeling of the assessment may improve decisions to which it is relevant. We show how a traditional decision-analytic approach can be used to balance the benefits of additional modeling with associated costs. The approach can be used during knowledge acquisition to focus the attention of a knowledge engineer or expert on parts of a decision model that deserve additional refinement. model that deserve additional refinement.
Author	David Heckerman and Holly Brügge Jimison +
Bibtype	techreport +
Has author	David Heckerman and Holly Brügge Jimison +
Has identifier	KSL-89-59 +
Has publishing details	1989 +
Has title	A Bayesian Perspective in Confidence +
Has year	1989 +
Institution	Knowledge Systems, AI Laboratory +
Ksl tr id	KSL-89-59 +
Number	KSL-89-59 +
Process note	YES +
Title	A Bayesian Perspective in Confidence +
Year	1989 +